Basic economics: what’s wrong with raising minimum wage rates?

Economist Thomas Sowell
Economist Thomas Sowell

From Investors Business Daily, an article by famous economist Thomas Sowell.

Excerpt:

Political crusades for raising the minimum wage are back again. Advocates of minimum-wage laws often give themselves credit for being more “compassionate” towards “the poor.”

But they seldom bother to check what are the actual consequences of such laws.

One of the simplest and most fundamental economic principles is that people tend to buy more when the price is lower and less when the price is higher.

Yet advocates of minimum-wage laws seem to think that the government can raise the price of labor without reducing the amount of labor that will be hired.

[…]Switzerland is one of the few modern nations without a minimum-wage law. In 2003, the Economist magazine reported: “Switzerland’s unemployment neared a five-year high of 3.9% in February.”

In February of this year, Switzerland’s unemployment rate was 3.1%. A recent issue of the Economist showed Switzerland’s unemployment rate as 2.1%.

Most Americans today have never seen unemployment rates that low. However, there was a time when there was no federal minimum-wage law in the United States.

The last time was during the Coolidge administration, when the annual unemployment rate went as low as 1.8%. When Hong Kong was a British colony, it had no minimum-wage law. In 1991 its unemployment rate was under 2%.

[…]Most people in the lower income brackets are not an enduring class. Most working people in the bottom 20% in income at a given time do not stay there over time. More of them end up in the top 20% than remain behind in the bottom 20%.

There is nothing mysterious about the fact that most people start off in entry-level jobs that pay much less than they will earn after they get some work experience.

But when minimum-wage levels are set without regard to their initial productivity, young people are disproportionately unemployed — priced out of jobs.

In European welfare states where minimum wages, and mandated job benefits to be paid for by employers, are more generous than in the United States, unemployment rates for younger workers are often 20% or higher, even when there is no recession.

Unemployed young people lose not only the pay they could have earned but, at least equally important, the work experience that would enable them to earn higher rates of pay later on.

Minorities, like young people, can also be priced out of jobs. In the United States, the last year in which the black unemployment rate was lower than the white unemployment rate — 1930 — was also the last year when there was no federal minimum-wage law.

Inflation in the 1940s raised the pay of even unskilled workers above the minimum wage set in 1938. Economically, it was the same as if there were no minimum-wage law by the late 1940s.

In 1948 the unemployment rate of black 16-year-old and 17-year-old males was 9.4%. This was a fraction of what it would become in even the most prosperous years from 1958 on, as the minimum wage was raised repeatedly to keep up with inflation.

A survey of American economists found that 90% of them regarded minimum-wage laws as increasing the rate of unemployment among low-skilled workers.

Harvard University economist Greg Mankiw puts the agreement level at 79%. This is not controversial. This is one of the most widely-accepted facts in economics. Generally, if you raise the price of domestic labor, without any increase in worker productivity, then it reduces demand for domestic labor and causes companies to reduce hiring and retention, possibly looking elsewhere for labor. Compassionate-sounding policies actually cause negative results like outsourcing and layoffs. The very people who agitate the most for a “living wage” cause higher unemployment – especially among youth and minorities.

The only sure way to help workers is to give them marketable skills and job experience – that’s what really draws higher salaries and better benefits. And that means advocating for smarter policies: fewer regulations on job creators, lowering the employer portion of payroll taxes, merit pay for teachers, vouchers to encourage competition between schools, making work pay more than collecting welfare for doing nothing. And so on. That would actually solve the problem of people not having work.

Global warming: antarctic sea ice extents hits 35-year record high

No significant global warming in 15 years
No significant global warming in 15 years

About two weeks ago, I blogged about record ice extents in the ARCTIC (north pole).

Now, here’s a new story about record ice extents in the ANTARCTIC (south pole) – and from the radically leftist Washington Post, no less.

Excerpt:

Antarctic sea ice has grown to a record large extent for a second straight year, baffling scientists seeking to understand why this ice is expanding rather than shrinking in a warming world.

On Saturday, the ice extent reached 19.51 million square kilometers, according to data posted on the National Snow and Ice Data Center Web site.  That number bested record high levels set earlier this month and in 2012 (of 19.48 million square kilometers). Records date back to October 1978.

[…]In a new study in the Journal of Climate, Zhang finds both strengthening and converging winds around the South Pole can explain 80 percent of the increase in ice volume which has been observed.

“The polar vortex that swirls around the South Pole is not just stronger than it was when satellite records began in the 1970s, it has more convergence, meaning it shoves the sea ice together to cause ridging,” the study’s press release explains. “Stronger winds also drive ice faster, which leads to still more deformation and ridging. This creates thicker, longer-lasting ice, while exposing surrounding water and thin ice to the blistering cold winds that cause more ice growth.”

But no one seems to have a conclusive answer as to why winds are behaving this way.

“I haven’t seen a clear explanation yet of why the winds have gotten stronger,” Zhang told Michael Lemonick of Climate Central.

Some point to stratospheric ozone depletion, but a new study published in the Journal of Climate notes that computer models simulate declining – not increasing – Antarctic sea ice in recent decades due to this phenomenon (aka the ozone “hole”).

“This modeled Antarctic sea ice decrease in the last three decades is at odds with observations, which show a small yet statistically significant increase in sea ice extent,”says the study, led by Colorado State University atmospheric scientist Elizabeth Barnes.

It’s a mystery. How could global warming be false?

Two weeks ago it was Arctic ice extents

Let’s review my previous post about how ARCTIC ice extents had increased 60% from last year, despite predictions by the socialist BBC.

From the UK Telegraph.

Excerpt:

A cold Arctic summer has led to a record increase in the ice cap, leading experts to predict a period of global cooling.

There has been a 60 per cent increase in the amount of ocean covered with ice compared to this time last year, they equivalent of almost a million square miles.

In a rebound from 2012′s record low an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores, days before the annual re-freeze is even set to begin.

The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year, forcing some ships to change their routes.

A leaked report to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) seen by the Mail on Sunday, has led some scientists to claim that the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century.

If correct, it would contradict computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming. The news comes several years after the BBC predicted that the arctic would be ice-free by 2013.

Despite the original forecasts, major climate research centres now accept that there has been a “pause” in global warming since 1997.

The original predictions led to billions being invested in green measures to combat the effects of climate change.

It’s so bad that environmentalists who thought there wouldn’t be any ice are trapped!

Not only have we had 15 years with no significant global warming, but now we have record ice extents in both the north pole and the south pole. Global warming alarmism is nothing but mythology dressed in a cheap tuxedo. When is the anti-science hysteria of the left going to end? What evidence will it take to convince them not to believe in fairies and leprechauns? I know they get a lot of brainwashing in public schools and universities, but eventually, they get out and they can look through telescopes and microscopes and see for themselves what is real. When experimental science has spoken about observations, then secularist doomsday fiction must give way. Mustn’t it?

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Report: Krauss blocked ABC TV channel from broadcasting Australia debates

Kevin Harris of Reasonable Faith interviews Dr. Craig about his recent speaking tour in Australia.

The MP3 file is here.

I pick up the recording at 02:30 in.

Summary:

  • After the first debate at North Carolina State, Krauss was very angry at Dr. Craig
  • He insisted that the three Australia debates be discussion without set speeches
  • Dr. Craig insisted on opening speeches, followed by a discussion
  • Dr. Craig also dialogged with his old debate partner Dr. Peter Slezak
  • Dr. Slezak got Dr. Craig’s paper in advance, and sent him his response in advance
  • They read out the paper and the response in Sydney at a local university and it went well
  • Australia is a post-Christian country, and many Australians are naturalists
  • The audiences of the tour events were 40-50% non-Christian, Dr. Craig estimates
  • There is a shortage of good, well-known Christian scholars in Australia
  • Dr. Craig met many young philosophy students in Australia
  • The organization who arranged the debates did not secure permission to record and distribute them
  • The organization who arranged the debates intended to live stream the three debates
  • Australian Broadcasting Corporation was supposed to show all three of the debates
  • Dr. Krauss had not given his permission to record the debates
  • Dr. Krauss had not given his permission to distribute recordings of the debates (e.g. – post them to YouTube)
  • He later gave permission to record the first debate
  • He would not allow the distribution of that first debate until it was over and he could decide whether to allow it to be posted
  • He wanted to wait until the first debate ended before deciding whether to allow the second two to be recorded much less released
  • Dr. Krauss blocked the live-streaming of the three debates on the Internet
  • Dr. Krauss blocked the broadcast of the three debates on TV via the Australia Broadcast Corporation
  • LESSON FOR PEOPLE WHO ARRANGE DEBATES: Get written permission from both speakers to record and distribute the recording FIRST
  • Clearly, Dr. Krauss wanted to wait and see if he did well in the debates before allowing the recordings to be distributed (even on YouTube)
  • Dr. Craig was warned not to say anything about Dr. Krauss’ censorship, until all the events were finished
  • Kevin Harris: we will be doing a series of podcasts on each of the three debates on Reasonable Faith

Check out my previous post on how Krauss misrepresented scientific evidence in his third debate. The full video and summary of the third debate is here.

I have not watched or summarized the first two debates.