New study: white police officers not more likely to shoot black suspects

Whenever people disagree about controversial things, the best way to proceed is to look at what the evidence says. In this case, we’ve got a new PNAS study authored by professors at several different universities which concludes that white officers are not more likely to shoot black civilians than black or Hispanic police officers.

Heather McDonald writes about it in the centrist National Review:

A new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences demolishes the Democratic narrative regarding race and police shootings, which holds that white officers are engaged in an epidemic of racially biased shootings of black men. It turns out that white officers are no more likely than black or Hispanic officers to shoot black civilians. It is a racial group’s rate of violent crime that determines police shootings, not the race of the officer. The more frequently officers encounter violent suspects from any given racial group, the greater the chance that members of that racial group will be shot by a police officer. In fact, if there is a bias in police shootings after crime rates are taken into account, it is against white civilians, the study found.

The authors, faculty at Michigan State University and the University of Maryland at College Park, created a database of 917 officer-involved fatal shootings in 2015 from more than 650 police departments. Fifty-five percent of the victims were white, 27 percent were black, and 19 percent were Hispanic. Between 90 and 95 percent of the civilians shot by officers in 2015 were attacking police or other citizens; 90 percent were armed with a weapon. So-called threat-misperception shootings, in which an officer shoots an unarmed civilian after mistaking a cellphone, say, for a gun, were rare.

This study builds on previous work, which also showed that white police officers were not more biased than other officers to shoot black civilians.

McDonald notes that progressive policy of hiring more minority police officers won’t reduce the rates of shootings of minority civilians, since all races fire their weapons at minority civilians at roughly the same rate.

The real problem with outrage at white police officers is that it doesn’t address the problem of black-on-black crime, which is a FAR greater threat to black victims of crime.

A recent editorial by George Mason University professor of economics Walter Williams explains:

Each year, roughly 7,000 blacks are murdered. Ninety-four percent of the time, the murderer is another black person.

According to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, between 1976 and 2011, there were 279,384 black murder victims. Using the 94-percent figure means that 262,621 were murdered by other blacks.

Though blacks are 13 percent of the nation’s population, they account for more than 50 percent of homicide victims. Nationally, the black homicide victimization rate is six times that of whites, and in some cities, it’s 22 times that of whites.

Coupled with being most of the nation’s homicide victims, blacks are most of the victims of violent personal crimes, such as assault and robbery.

[…]It’s a tragic commentary to be able to say that young black males have a greater chance of reaching maturity on the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan than on the streets of Philadelphia, Chicago, Detroit, Oakland, Newark and other cities.

And all those cities are run by Democrats. And they have been run by Democrats for decades. Democrat policies don’t work to solve the problem how making cities safer for blacks.

The real root cause behind crime is, of course, fatherlessness, as this interview about fatherless boys in the Daily Signal with Warren Farrell makes clear:

They’re far more likely to be the mass shooters. About 90% of the mass shooters that I studied since Columbine have been boys brought up in homes that have minimal or no father involvement or products of divorce or so on. And so that really shocked me to see that common denominator.

I then looked beyond that and went to ISIS recruits. There was a big study of ISIS recruits that found that the common denominator among ISIS recruits was dad deprivation, but not only among the boys, but also the female ISIS recruits as well, which, of course, are in much smaller numbers.

Then I started looking at prisoners and the prison population. We all know that 93% of the prisoners are male, but what very few people know is that about 90% of those 93% are dad-deprived boys.

Kay Cole James, the president of the Heritage Foundation (my favorite think tank), wrote about some of her ideas on how to solve the problem for Fox News.

She writes:

First, we must ensure that we’re encouraging families to stay together and that fathers and mothers raise their children together. Decades of studies have shown that children raised in single-parent homes are statistically more likely to abuse drugs and alcohol, exhibit poor social behaviors, and commit violent crimes. They’re also more likely to drop out of school, which often leaves them struggling to find good-paying jobs as adults.

We could go a long way toward strengthening inner-city families by changing the system of government assistance that routinely weakens them.

A child of welfare, I can tell you that an overreliance on government assistance has deprived millions of children of the love and security they would have gotten from a family with two parents.

In the rest of the article, she explains how she was able to put that into practice, and what results she obtained by doing it.

Welfare “frees” women to try to start relationships with men who demonstrate no ability or willingness to commit. She doesn’t have to care about whether he is chaste, sober, drug-free, loyal, educated, a hard worker, etc. because the government is taking over the role of provider. The side effect of this is the high inner-city crime rates that we observe in cities that reward women for making fatherless children with men they never vetted for commitment ability.

Christian Post article features mothers explaining their sons transitioning

I wanted everyone to see this Christian Post article, that describes what it is like for mothers who trusted the school system to find out the hard way what schools are really like. Schools are dominated by women teachers and administrators. Their creed is “compassion” and “tolerance”. How does that work out for boys? Let’s get the stories straight from the mouths of nine mothers.

Here’s one example:

Approximately three years ago, Danae Johnson started to notice that her then-14-year-old son, Jeremy, a freshman in high school at the time, had some troubling text messages and pictures on his phone of kids who were dressed as the opposite sex.

At a mother-son dinner, he announced that he was transgender.

[…]Jeremy was a smaller kid, bullied ever since middle school, sometimes coming home with scrapes down his arms, his mother said. He consistently makes good grades, is in all honors classes and makes the honor roll. But being transgender meant he got to go from being bullied and struggling to popular. Female schoolmates have been particularly encouraging him in this new identity.

There was an attempt at suicide:

Johnson took him to the hospital immediately to get him evaluated. On the way there, Jeremy tried to make it seem like he was kidding. They spent several hours at the hospital where he was examined by four professionals, all of whom told Johnson that he was doing this for attention and that he was not genuinely suicidal.

And:

Johnson is “100% convinced” the bullying drove him into the gender identity madness. They removed him from that school and put him in a local Catholic school where the bullying ceased. Yet despite the improved environment, the trans identity continued to bring him attention, so he maintained it.

So what to make of this? Well, I really am glad to see the wife siding with her husband against the child’s peer-driven behavior. Today there is an epidemic of mothers bending over backwards to agree with their children. Instead of parenting them, they just affirm them and completely abdicate their role as parents. They want to be liked. This woman did not want to be liked.

Second point is that this story clearly shows how peer pressure plays a role in causing children to go down the transgender path. And the teachers and administrators have a secular left agenda, and that agenda is more important than your child.

A study that was first reported by Science Daily talked about the role of peer pressure. This article at The Federalist had a few examples to illustrate the conclusion of the study. I’ll pick two.

The study includes other eye-opening information, such as case studies of several children’s stories.

  • “A 14-year-old natal female and three of her natal female friends were taking group lessons together with a very popular coach. The coach came out as transgender, and, within one year, all four students announced they were also transgender.”

  • “A 14-year-old natal female and three of her natal female friends are part of a larger friend group that spends much of their time talking about gender and sexuality. The three natal female friends all announced they were trans boys and chose similar masculine names. After spending time with these three friends, the 14-year-old natal female announced that she was also a trans boy.”

And surprise! Giving gay rights groups access to schools makes the problem worse:

The study also may indicate that school “anti-bullying” programs typically created by LGBT activist organizations such as the Human Rights Campaign may help accelerate children identifying as transgender by pushing peers and authority figures to profusely express their support.

Coming out as transgender means instant fame and popularity, because you’re a victim, and everyone has to be nice to you… or else:

“Great increase in popularity among the student body at large. Being trans is a gold star in the eyes of other teens,” wrote one parent on the study response form. Another wrote, “not so much ‘popularity’ increasing as ‘status’ … also she became untouchable in terms of bullying in school as teachers who ignored homophobic bullying …are now all at pains to be hot on the heels of any trans bullying.”

I really think parents need to think twice before throwing their children into public schools and unmonitored social media.

The second mother from the CP article was even more interesting. She’s a far-left supporter of Planned Parenthood, NPR listener and Bill Maher watcher. She only has one child – I think she delayed having children to focus on her career.

Here’s what she said:

“Children are being groomed online by adults,” she said when asked what the public at large misunderstands about the transgender movement.

[…]“They are confusing kids. They’re ruining families. You thought you could have a child and make a difference,” she said. “It’s like they’re taking away the core of a family. And I look at everyone who is having a child, and I’m like, ‘Don’t do it,’ because you have no control over your child. Parental rights have been taken away. The schools are complicit in pushing this agenda.”

She recalled reading about Communist Chinese Chairman Mao Zedong’s rulership and how under his reign, children were instructed to turn on their parents and rupture the family structure.

“I feel like that’s what’s happening. It used to be a world where the parents had control. But it’s all taken away from us because our kid can complain to the school, and social services would be called because we’re not affirming them in this lie. We could lose custody. That’s a really scary, scary world we’re in.”

It’s a scary world that people on the secular left made.

Some people freak out when I say to be careful about getting married to someone who isn’t aware of these threats, and to especially NOT have children with a progressive spouse. But do you think the same thing after hearing from these mothers?

Last day to pre-order Dr. Stephen C. Meyer’s new book “Return of the God Hypothesis”

In my opinion, the two best books on intelligent design ever written are “Signature in the Cell” and “Darwin’s Doubt”. The former is about biological information and the origin of Life. The latter is about the sudden origin of body plans and organ types during a brief period of biological history known as the Cambrian explosion. Either problem is lethal to a naturalistic view of biological origins. The author of these two books has just published the third book in the trilogy, and it looks like it will be the best one yet. You can pre-order it here, and get a bunch of extra goodies, including a PDF booklet that I assume you can share with people who don’t buy the book. Anyway, let’s see what the new book is about.

You can read chapter 1 here for free at Crosswalk.

Excerpt:

This book will show that reports of God’s decease have “been grossly exaggerated,” to appropriate a quote from Mark Twain. Instead, the truth is just the opposite of what Dawkins… and numerous other popular spokespersons for science have insisted. The properties of the universe and of life—specifically as they pertain to understanding the origin of the universe and life—are just “what we should expect” if a transcendent and purposive intelligence has acted in the history of life and the cosmos. Such an intelligence coincides with what human beings have called God, and so I call this story of reversal the return of the God hypothesis.

They’ve posted a whole bunch of endorsements here, and here’s are a few, to let you know what people think of it:

Meyer’s book is a masterclass, lucidly exploring every alternative from multiple points of view. It persuasively shows that the God Hypothesis is the best explanation of the fine-tuned, information-laden universe. The book does irreparable damage to atheist rhetoric.

JOHN C. WALTON, PHD, DSC, FELLOW OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF EDINBURGH, RESEARCH PROFESSOR OF CHEMISTRY, UNIVERSITY OF ST. ANDREWS

Reviewing all relevant evidence from cosmology to molecular biology, Meyer builds an irrefutable “case for God” while delivering an unanswerable set of logical and scientific broadsides against the currently fashionable materialistic/atheistic worldview. Meyer builds his argument relentlessly omitting no significant area of debate. The logic throughout is compelling and the book almost impossible to put down. Meyer is a master at clarifying complex issues making the text accessible to the widest possible audience. Readers will be struck by Meyer’s extraordinary depth of knowledge in every relevant area. The book is a masterpiece and will be widely cited in years to come. The best, most lucid, comprehensive defense of the ‘God hypothesis’ in print. No other publication comes close. A unique tour de force.

DR. MICHAEL DENTON, FORMER SENIOR RESEARCH FELLOW, BIOCHEMISTRY, UNIVERSITY OF OTAGO, AUTHOR, NATURE’S DESTINY

Meyer not only meticulously documents his scientific case for the God hypothesis, but he presents the story of the discoveries that support it in an engaging way. The arguments Meyer makes helped fuel my own personal transition from atheistic materialism to a rational belief in classical theism.

GÜNTER BECHLY, PH.D. IN PALEONTOLOGY, EBERHARD-KARLS UNIVERSITY OF TÜBINGEN; FORMER SCIENTIFIC CURATOR, STATE MUSEUM OF NATURAL HISTORY, STUTTGART, GERMANY; SENIOR SCIENTIST, BIOLOGIC INSTITUTE.

Not since Robert Jastrow’s God and the Astronomers, has a book touched me with the power of science to declare the glories of God. Jastrow kept me from the deism and atheism of college physics, and this book will surely have that same effect on the next generation. Whereas Jastrow left off too soon, Meyer skillfully follows the evidence to its logical and scientific conclusion, by examining recent developments not only in physics and cosmology, but also in biology. Warmly written with a historian’s eye, illustrated profusely, a perfect graduation gift for all those embarking on a lifetime of discovery.

ROB SHELDON, PH.D. IN SPACE PLASMA PHYSICS, UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND; FORMER NASA ANALYST AND INSTRUMENT DESIGNER, AUTHOR, THE LONG ASCENT 

And this one from a Nobel Laureate in Physics:

This book makes it clear that far from being an unscientific claim, intelligent design is valid science.

BRIAN JOSEPHSON, EMERITUS PROFESSOR OF PHYSICS, UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE, FELLOW OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY, NOBEL LAUREATE IN PHYSICS

This is the video that accompanies the launch of the book:

I’ve already pre-ordered the book for myself and my Bible study partner. She is as excited to read it as I am.

There’s a short 22-minute video show that Dr. Meyer did with radio show host Michael Medved here, with show notes, if you want to see how he explains some of the concepts in the book.

In my opinion, no one has done a better job of writing books that equip Christians to make their case with evidence than Dr. Stephen C. Meyer. By the way, Dr. Meyer is the one who does the presentations for Focus on the Family’s DVD series “True U”, which is designed to equip students going to college. So, if you’re wondering if he knows how to explain things to ordinary people, he absolutely does.

There is a lot of “noise” in the Christian community from authors who do not equip you to win arguments. Think of popular authors like G. K. Chesterton, A. W. Tozer, Francis Chan, Philip Yancey, John Piper and other wordsmiths. They write entertaining words, but you can’t win arguments by reciting poetry or having happy feelings. I’m an engineer, I want things that work in the real world. Most Christian authors aren’t experienced at debating skeptics, or at replying to the challenges of their critics. Dr. Meyer is rooted in evidence and does an excellent job of interacting with his critics, and responding to them. I’ve even featured some of his debates on this blog. Dr. Meyer is my favorite author for equipping myself to win arguments. If you like to argue, and you like to win, get the book. You can have a lot of fun with a book like this.