Evangelicals in Iowa rally to Rick Santorum, pushing him into 3rd place

The leftist Washington Post reports.

Excerpt:

The CNN/Opinion Research poll released this week showed Santorum moving into third place in Iowa at 16 percent.

[…]The poll showed Santorum taking 22 percent of born-again Christians, moving him into first place among that group. And if he can make other born-agains believe that he’s the one viable alternative to Romney and Paul, then maybe he can create enough of a rallying effect to unite evangelicals behind his campaign.

“That bandwagon effect at the end can be very powerful in moving numbers dramatically in the last five days,” said former Iowa Republican Party chairman Steve Grubbs, pointing to Huckabee’s win.

There’s also the fact that many voters are receptive to Santorum; other polling has suggested he is a popular second-choice pick.

That suggests voters want to vote for Santorum, but perhaps didn’t see him as someone who could actually win. But if they now see him as a viable option, maybe they move into his camp.

“So it means he still has upside — beyond evangelicals but certainly including them,” said Nick Ryan, the founder of the pro-Santorum super PAC that is current running a quarter-million dollars worth of ads in the Hawkeye State.

The problem, though, is that Santorum is running against two other lower-tier candidates — Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann — who have significant appeal to evangelicals as well. And they aren’t so far behind Santorum (they take 11 percent and 9 percent, respectively) that they wouldn’t also appear to be viable options.

[…]For either Perry or Bachmann, finishing behind Santorum in Iowa likely means the end of their campaign, and that means that Santorum is going to have to work at stealing their supporters.

But at least for now, it appears that he has a genuine opportunity to steal votes from a large pool of voters that doesn’t like either of the two frontrunners.

And given the topsy-turvy nature of the race in Iowa, it isn’t out of the question to think he he could pick up enough votes to win.

Let’s confirm Santorum’s surging poll numbers with this Fox News article.

Excerpt:

After a poll Wednesday showed Santorum suddenly moving into third position in Iowa, a Rasmussen Reports survey released Thursday showed the same line-up. The poll showed Mitt Romney and Ron Paul in a dead heat, with 23 and 22 percent respectively, and Santorum in third with 16 percent.

In a troubling sign for Newt Gingrich, the same survey showed the ex-House speaker tied for fourth with Rick Perry.

The polls nationally and in Iowa have been notoriously fickle this season, and the shape of the race just five days out is no guarantee of any particular outcome on caucus day. Also, national polling continues to show Santorum in the low single digits, leading only former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman.

Just to be clear, if you are a pure social conservative, there here is the candidate ranking for you:

  1. Rick Santorum (Persuasive, Good positions, legislative record, voting record)
  2. Michele Bachmann (Good positions, legislative record, voting record)
  3. Newt Gingrich (Good positions, voting record)
  4. Rick Perry (Good positions, legislative record)
  5. John Huntsman  (Pro-life, pro-gay-rights)
  6. Ron Paul (effectively pro-abortion, effectively pro-gay-marriage)
  7. Mitt Romney (Record is pro-abortion, pro-gay-rights)

Santorum gets the edge over Bachmann because he is more persuasive on abortion and marriage – he actually tries to convince people who don’t agree with him. They both take the right positions and have good records of activism, but Santorum is a social conservative apologist. Social conservatives should not vote for anyone other than Bachmann or Santorum. Perry would be the lowest I would go when everything is factored in.

One thought on “Evangelicals in Iowa rally to Rick Santorum, pushing him into 3rd place”

  1. I have a problem though with Perry. I can’t trust him. He is on a quest, and that quest is to become President, no matter what. I think he will say and do anything to get the job. Rather than stay a death sentence in Texas when there were serious questions regarding the case, he looked the other way. He did so because, as I understood it, he knew that if he stopped the execution, it would cost him any chance at the Presidency.

    In Michigan Rick Snyder ran for Governor. He won, because he said all the right things. His favorite campaign slogan was “I’m all about Michigan”. I said in my Blogs at LSJ.Com Tallboy52, “It is not what the man is saying that bothers me, it’s what he is not saying”. I was afraid then and it turned out I was correct that he would balance the State Budget on the backs of the poor, those who at the time of his election needed all the help they could get. He did not stop there, he went after the middle class as well. Now, as far as I can see there is no saftey Net in Michigan.

    All too often we vote for the guy who says all the slick things we think need to be said. If it sounds good, then we run right out there and vote for them. Then when they show what their real intent is we are angry and ready to re-call the guy. Well, we voted for them, based only on slick campaign ad’s that had no substance. You see, if Mr. Snyder were to have said how he was going to turn Michigan around he never would have been elected.

    That is the problem that I have with Mr. Perry, as well as many of the other candidates. If they were to actually tell us how they were going to turn the United States around, they would lose the election hands down!

    Have a great day, and Happy New Year!

    Like

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