Category Archives: News

Recent polls: voters less likely to support Trump after felony convictions

During the GOP primary, I wrote a lot about Ron DeSantis’ many policy wins. He won re-election in Florida by 20%, winning over many moderates and independents to his ultra-conservative platform. But, voters chose Trump as the GOP nominee. This was in spite of polls showing Trump losing many supporters in the (likely) event that he was convicted of felonies. And that’s now happened.

First, I wrote about Trump’s 4 trials and 91 felony charges, after the Iowa caucus results, when voters in Iowa voted for Trump above DeSantis.

I wrote this:

I watched Iowa voting results last night. It was disappointing. I wondered, “do Trump voters know that he is facing 4 criminal investigations, with 91 separate indictments?” So, I asked my Dad, who is very old and retired, and watches Fox News all day and all night. And he said “Yes, but they are all politically motivated, and they will all be dismissed”. So, let’s take a look.

And I went over all the trials and charges. Then I wrote this:

Now it’s time to ask one of my favorite questions to Trump supporters: What did you hope to achieve in the long-term by doing what felt good to you in the short-term? I would really like an answer from Trump supporters. What is the evidence that Trump will not get convicted of at least some of these charges, and then lose tons of votes in the general election, especially the trials taking place in blue states, with blue state juries? What is the evidence that a felony conviction will not cause Republicans to lose the general election in November?

By the way, I did call my Fox-News-Watching Dad and asked him whether he was surprised by the news of Thursday, and he said it was all so unexpected. That’s despite me telling him that this was guaranteed to happen, and that Trump would be in a prison cell in the months leading up to election day (and after). But he’s a Trump supporter, and the Fox News told him it would never happen.

Let’s take a look at recent polls about Trump’s felony convictions, and see whether he’s going to lose any votes over these felony convictions that are now happening exactly as DeSantis supporters had predicted they would.

This is from Fox News, which strongly backed Donald Trump against Ron DeSantis:

Would a Trump guilty verdict dramatically alter the current state of play in the presidential showdown?

Recent national polling points to a very small — but potentially decisive — drop in support for Trump if he’s convicted in court.

Sixty-two percent of registered voters questioned in a Quinnipiac University survey said a guilty verdict would make no difference to their vote for president. Fifteen percent said it would make them more likely to cast a ballot for Trump and 21% said it would make them less likely to vote for the former president.

Additionally, eight out of 10 Trump supporters surveyed in an ABC News/Ipsos poll said they would still back the presumptive GOP presidential nominee if he was found guilty in court. Sixteen percent said they would reconsider their support and 4% said they would no longer back Trump.

Additionally, a Reuters-Ipsos poll indicated a two-point shift away from Trump if the former president is convicted, with a bigger six-point shift if Trump is put behind bars.

The future is hard to predict. The polls I was seeing previously predicted a 10% shift away from Trump to Biden, if Trump was convicted of a felony. That’s why I urged people to vote for DeSantis, and persuade others to vote for DeSantis.

I have no doubt Trump’s 34 felony convictions, each with a max sentence of 4 years in prison, will make Trump supporters even more likely to vote for Trump. But even if they are angry enough to vote twice for Trump, they only get one vote. And I doubt that Trump supporters will be able to convince moderates and independents to support a convicted felon with their rage alone.

Trump is not the candidate who turned a 0.5% win in 2018 into a 20% win in 2022. In a purple state. That would be Ron DeSantis. It’s too bad we didn’t vote for someone who was great on policy, and great at winning over moderates and independents. Trump has zero appeal to moderates and independents. If we wanted to win in November, we would have chosen Ron DeSantis.

I would say that right now, the only way for Republicans to win in November is to dump Trump, and let DeSantis be the candidate. The problem is that Trump is focused on himself. He’s always been more concerned about himself. He doesn’t support conservative candidates, he supports candidates who kiss his ring. This is not the person who is going to bow out in order to help Republicans win. Maybe when he loses, his supporters will understand (during the next 4 years of socialist tyranny), that it is important to vote with your mind, and not with your feelings. Maybe if we start to choose candidates based on policies and persuading independents, then we win the next election in 2028.

Reason #736 why men are opting out of dating and marriage: paternity fraud

Statistics show that men are choosing to disengage from dating and marriage. There are many reasons for this. I can name a dozen. One of the reasons is “paternity fraud”. Paternity claims occur when a woman has a child, and then tries to collect child support from a man by claiming that he is the father. Sometimes, the man she identifies as the father is not the actual father. This is “paternity fraud”.

Before I get started on paternity fraud, let me explain how child support works today, from this article in USA Today:

The most well-known case was of a Kansas boy who, at age 13, impregnated his 17-year-old baby-sitter. Under Kansas law, a child under the age of 15 is legally unable to consent to sex. The Kansas Supreme Court in 1993 ruled that he was liable for child support.

California issued a similar state court ruling a few years later in the case of a 15-year-old boy who had sex with a 34-year-old neighbor. In that case, the woman had been convicted of statutory rape.

In both cases, it was the state social-services agency that pursued the case after the mother sought public assistance.

[…]In Arizona, the Department of Economic Security oversees child–support enforcement. Its written policy is not to exempt situations like Olivas’ from child-support responsibilities, unless the parent seeking child support has been found guilty of sexual assault with a minor or sexual assault.

[…]The state has more routes than the courts to acquire money from a parent. It can garnishee wages up to 50 percent of disposable income. It can take a tax refund. It can put a lien on a home or a vehicle. It can suspend driver’s licenses or revoke passports. And it can seize money out of bank accounts.

And another one from Fox 2 Detroit:

A Metro Detroit man cleared his name after Friend of the Court sent him a letter saying he had a baby with a woman he never met.

[…]Late last year, DeAngelo received a letter from Friend of the Court in Berrien County saying that he was the father of a baby girl.

“Said she’s a stripper from Detroit, we had a one-night stand at some hotel, and this is the story that was told to me,” DeAngelo said.

His wife first spotted the letter in the mail from Friend of the Court.

“Let’s just set the record, I trust my husband,” Tyahvia Smith said. “I know his character, man of integrity.”

While waiting for the child’s mother to take the baby for a DNA test, DeAngelo said the school where he teaches received an inquiry for possible garnishment in case the child was his.

“It made it something that is not being alleged, but now it’s something that’s being taken into action and no paternity has been established,” he said.

Finally, the woman had the DNA test done, and DeAngelo has since gotten a letter confirming he was not the father.

The request for money comes to the man’s employer first, the DNA test comes later, and only if the man fights the system to get it.

I show these cases, so that people will understand what men are facing from social services agencies and courts. Basically, in cases where a woman statutory rapes a man, she is still entitled to child support from the victim of the rape. One can imagine the uproar if the sexes were reversed. The laws are anti-male in many ways, this is just one example. Anti-male laws deter men from dating and marrying women.

Now let’s look at paternity fraud, another example of anti-male bias in the legal system.

Here’s a story about it from CBS News Detroit:

A Detroit man has been ordered to pay $30,000 in back child support for his ex-girlfriend’s child — even though he’s not the father.

Carnell Alexander brought his case to Wayne County Circuit Court with hopes for a fix. Instead, Judge Kathleen McCarthy told him Tuesday he waited too long to challenge the situation and “failed to take this matter seriously.”

Alexander said the paternity case started in the 1980s when the woman gave his name to a case worker so she could get assistance for her baby, who was born in 1987.

The woman agrees that Alexander wasn’t the father and a DNA test taken in 2013 backs that up. But that wasn’t enough to sway McCarthy, who ruled that despite the case being decades old, Alexander still has to pay.

Here’s another story of paternity fraud from NBC News Miami:

A man in North Florida is fighting the state after he was told to pay child support despite DNA tests proving that he was not the father.

Joseph Sinawa told NBC affiliate WTLV-TV that he signed the birth certificate because he did truly believe he was the father – adding that the mother of the child doesn’t want him to have to pay, but the state is forcing the issue.

“She told the judge she just wants this to be done and over with, and so do I,” he said from his home in St. Augustine.

Sinawa found out he was not the father after the DNA test was administered by a St. Johns County court following a custody question – but the state’s Department of Revenue appealed the decision because they say Sinawa has not properly attempted to disestablish paternity.

“At the time it had been taking $83 out of my paycheck, more than 1/3 of my pay,” he says. “When I thought I was the father I didn’t have a problem with it.”

Sinawa is currently representing himself in court cases due to financial issues and has filed the necessary paperwork, but no time table has been set and it is unknown if he will be refunded any of the money spent.

According to this study in  the peer-reviewed journal Epidemiology & Community Health, the median rate of paternity fraud across various studies is 3.7%:

Paternal discrepancy (PD) occurs when a child is identified as being biologically fathered by someone other than the man who believes he is the father. This paper examines published evidence on levels of PD and its public health consequences. Rates vary between studies from 0.8% to 30% (median 3.7%, n = 17).

Even men who are not at risk for paternity fraud understand the lesson of paternity fraud. The courts are anti-male, and men need to stay well clear of those courts. And that means minimizing exposure to those courts. And that means keeping to themselves, and tending to their own problems and pursuing their own goals.

Men are getting smarter now. Men understand that society does not have their interests at heart. Now men want to be left alone.

Biden administration is weaponizing the justice system against Christians

If you’re not following the writing of Mary Margaret Olohan at Daily Signal, you should be. She’s writing about how the Biden administration is using the legal system to punish Christians and pro-lifers, even as they turn a blind eye to crimes committed by secular leftist criminals and terrorists. I’ll post one story below, and then you can check her recent headlines yourself.

Here’s the story from Daily Signal:

Republican Utah Sen. Mike Lee accused President Joe Biden’s Department of Justice on Tuesday of “unjustly” persecuting pro-life activists exposing the “horrors of abortion.”

“The Biden administration is using the FACE Act to give pro-life activists and senior citizens lengthy prison terms for non-violent offenses and protests—all while turning a blind eye to the violence, arson, and riots conducted on behalf of ‘approved’ leftist causes,” Lee told The Daily Signal in a Tuesday statement.

The senator added: “Unequal enforcement of the law is a violation of the law, and men and women who try to expose the horrors of abortion are being unjustly persecuted for their motivations.”

Now, you might remember how the Biden Justice Department gave very lenient sentences of about 12 and 15 months to two secular leftist domestic terrorists who fire-bombed a police car. So what kinds of sentences are Mike Lee’s “pro-life activists and senior citizens” getting?

Lee’s comments come after news that pro-life activist Lauren Handy has been sentenced on DOJ charges to almost five years in prison for attempting to stop abortions of unborn babies from taking place at a Washington, D.C., abortion clinic.

Handy will spend 57 months in prison and is the first person sentenced for violating the Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances (FACE) Act, a 1994 law that supposedly protects both abortion clinics and pregnancy resource centers, but has been heavily enforced by Biden’s DOJ against pro-lifers since the June 2022 overturning of Roe v. Wade.

Here’s something interesting from the background of the woman who is pushing these cases:

Those efforts are led by Assistant Attorney General Kristen Clarke, the head of the DOJ’s Civil Rights Division, who recently admitted following a report from The Daily Signal that she hid an arrest and its subsequent expungement from investigators when she was confirmed to her Justice Department post.

If she had revealed the arrest, then I don’t think she would be eligible for a Justice Department post.

And here’s Mary’s conclusion:

The president’s critics have accused Biden and the DOJ of weaponizing the FACE Act against pro-lifers while failing to charge pro-abortion criminals for the hundreds of attacks on pregnancy resource centers since the May 2022 leak of the draft Supreme Court opinion indicating Roe would soon be overturned.

Here are some of Mary’s other columns from Daily Signal, if you want to double-check the details about what the Biden administration is doing to Christians, conservatives and pro-lifers:

  • DOJ Puts Pro-Life Grandmother Behind Bars for Trying to Stop Abortions
  • Biden DOJ Ramps Up War on Pro-Lifers With Lawsuit
  • DOJ Attorney Expressed Concerns About Conservative Media Coverage of Biden Admin Persecuting Christians, Pro-Lifers
  • DOJ’s Kristen Clarke Celebrates Prison Time for Pro-Life Activists
  • Pro-Life Activist Charged by Biden DOJ Gets Almost 5 Years in Prison for Trying to Stop Abortions
  • DOJ’s Kristen Clarke Asked Ex-Husband to Say She Wasn’t an Abuser During Confirmation Process, Ex Alleges

Well, this is all very troubling. I always get upset when evidence emerges about the Democrat party persecuting Christians and conservatives. I don’t want to believe that I live in a country where secular leftists are presiding over a two-tier justice system. There’s one (lenient) justice system for the criminals who commit domestic violence, domestic terrorism, arson and infanticide, and then there’s another (harsh) justice system for the married people who read the Bible, pray, attend church, homeschool their children, and don’t need student loan bailouts.

There’s an easy way for voters to give an opinion about the Biden administration – all they have to do is show up and vote for it, or against it, in November. And if you think that someone you know would be interested in these Daily Signal articles, then it might be a good idea to send them to all your friends.